US Foreign policy in Afghanistan - The Frugal Economic and Diplomatic Oriented "surge"

December 6 2009
 
 
What is the outlook for the United States as a global power:
 
The United States has since its birth been blessed with several unique competitive advantages:
 
1. Our Democratic Institutions, once unique, they are now found in dozens of other countries.
2. Our enormous natural resources: Still a big help, but others can now compete to procure natural resources (Russia, China, Brazil all have demonstrated this).
3. The education level and quality of our work force: Up until the mid 20th century no country had a workforce like the U.S.
4. Traditionally NY was the financial center of the world and the dollar its currency, neither is any longer a requirement for global capital.
 
All of our natural advantages are being blunted. See 'Has America Lost its Mojo' by Fareed Zakaria, in Newsweek http://www.newsweek.com/id/222836
 
Our primary resource is our people.  And the U.S. is not doing particularly well in the quality of its work force, which is largely a function of education.This also means we get a lousy government, because our uneducated people are more interested in Gate Crashers than actual foreign policy, our culture is getting lighter and lighter weight. Al Jazeera English is outperforming our networks in meaningful coverage, just look at who is getting the international journalism awards:  http://english.aljazeera.net/news/europe/2008/02/2008525134933817892.html
 
 
 
WAR IN AFGHANISTAN:
 
100,000 US Soldiers with their supporting private contractors will cost over 10 billion dollars a month.
 
We have 55 million children in k-12 with a total expenditure of 400 billion annually. THE WAR IN AFGHANISTAN WILL COST 33% OF OUR TOTAL K-12 EDUCATION.
 
The basic purpose of the surge is to create a security cordon around the cities where the national government of Afghanistan is in control.
 
 
THE US CANNOT AFFORD THIS EXPENDITURE THAT WILL BE 250 BILLION DOLLARS
 
It is not our responsibility any longer to act as the worlds policeman. We have to prepare our people and our economy to compete in a vastly different world.
 
HARD QUESTIONS:
1. COULD WE NOT FIND A 10 BILLION OPTION FOR AFGHANISTAN: Could not Indonesian, Bengali and Saudi troops be gradually brought in ? Why is this solely our responsibility?
 
2, 1 SOLDIER IN AFGHANISTAN COSTS THE EQUIVALENT OF 40 VILLAGES BROUGHT ELECTRIFICATION OR A SCHOOL. HOW MANY SOLDIERS WOULD IT TAKE TO WIN OVER 40 AFGHAN VILLAGES>
 
3. THere are 30 million people in Afghanistan : 250 billion dollars expended on military is equal to nearly 10,000 per Afghani. PER CAPITA INCOME IN AFGHANISTAN IS 400 DOLLARS. Our Military expenditures would be equal to PAYING EVERY MAN WOMAN AND CHILD THEIR NEXT 25 YEARS OF PROJECTED INCOME.
 
 
 THE FRUGAL SURGE OPTION:
 
1. We accelerate cutting a deal with the Taliban, burning 10 billion a month for the first month or two only, once agreements are secured SUCH AS HAVING A MUSLIM PEACE KEEPING FORCE INTRODUCED AT  10 % THE COST OF AMERICAN TROOPS, we can provide a 30 Billion ECONOMIC development package for the country and get out. Obama cut the price of victory from 1 TRILLION OVER 10 YEARS - to 250 Billion - I propose bringing it down further. 
 
TAKE A LOOK BELOW AT SOME SOBERING FACTS:
 
Regards
Alexander Hagen 
 
 
 
"Not only does it find that the average literacy of college educated Americans declined significantly from 1992 to 2003, but it also reveals that just 25 percent of college graduates -- and only 31 percent of those with at least some graduate studies -- scored high enough on the tests to be deemed "proficient" from a literacy standpoint, which the government defines as "using printed and written information to function in society, to achieve one's goals, and to develop one's knowledge and potential."
 
 
 
Differences

China has about 194 million students in K-12, India has 212 million, and the United States has 53 million. While China and India educate only a fraction of their children compared to the United States, their raw numbers dwarf those of America, and their middle class is rapidly growing, so those figures will increase over time.
 
 

Mathematics Science Reading
1  Taiwan  Finland  South Korea
2  Finland  Hong Kong  Finland
3  Hong Kong  Canada  Hong Kong
4  South Korea  Taiwan  Canada
5  Netherlands  Estonia  New Zealand
6  Switzerland  Japan  Ireland
7  Canada  New Zealand  Australia
8  Macau  Australia  Liechtenstein
9  Liechtenstein  Netherlands  Poland
10  Japan  Liechtenstein  Sweden
11  New Zealand  South Korea  Netherlands
12  Belgium  Slovenia  Belgium
13  Australia  Germany  Estonia
14  Estonia  United Kingdom  Switzerland
15  Denmark  Czech Republic  Japan
16  Czech Republic  Switzerland  Taiwan
17  Iceland  Macau  United Kingdom
18  Austria  Austria  Germany
19  Slovenia  Belgium  Denmark
20  Germany  Ireland  Slovenia
 
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The United States compared to the other major global economies: Gross Domestic Product
Today  2008 AD   as percent of top 11 economies  GROWTH RATE  2015 AD   as percent of top 11 economies    7 YEAR GROWTH
 European Union  $             18,387,785 36% 0.8  $        19,442,546 33% 1.057362 6%
 United States  $             14,441,425 28% 1.1  $        15,590,791 26% 1.079588 8%
 China  $               4,327,448 8% 9  $          7,910,744 13% 1.828039 83%
 Japan  $               4,910,692 10% -0.7  $          4,675,063 8% 0.952017 -5%
 Russia  $               1,676,586 3% 5.6  $          2,455,123 4% 1.464359 46%
 Brazil  $               1,572,839 3% 5.1  $          2,227,939 4% 1.416508 42%
 India  $               1,206,684 2% 7.4  $          1,988,948 3% 1.648276 65%
 Canada  $               1,499,551 3% 0.4  $          1,542,046 3% 1.028338 3%
 Mexico  $               1,088,128 2% 1.3  $          1,191,094 2% 1.094627 9%
 Australia  $               1,013,461 2% 2.3  $          1,188,328 2% 1.172545 17%
 South Korea  $                   929,124 2% 2.2  $          1,082,007 2% 1.164545 16%
TOTAL  $             51,053,723      $        59,294,629   1.161416 16%


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